Well, contrary to what everyone thinks...I don't see ship modeling as tapering off one bit...in fact, it's growing.
Let's look at the new plastic ship kits that were released since 2001...now this is not scientific, it's just off the top of my head...y'all can fill in the ones I've missed.
Revell AG S-100 Schnellboote
Revell AG 1/72 Type VII U-boat
Trumpeter 1/350 Hornet
Trumpeter 1/350 Essex
Trumpeter 1/350 Yorktown
Trumpeter 1/350 Franklin
Trumpeter 1/200 Sovermenny
Tamiya 1/700 Prinz Eugen
Tamiya 1/700 Cushing
Tamiya 1/700 Missouri
Tamiya 1/700 Kirov
ICM Konig/Grosser Kurfurst
Banner Arizona
What we see is a small, tightly knit community of ship modelers...and on the web, most reside in 1 of 2 places, Modelwarships.com or Steelnavy. If you think ship modeling is dying, spend some time on those message boards.
Since 2001, our site has had over 2 million hits...with 1 million of those coming in 2003 alone.
That being said, with the exception of Trumpeter, most model companies are more inclined to cater to the larger markets, 1/48 aircraft and 1/35 armor. We have to remember that these companies are in BUSINESS to server OUR hobby...it's not a hobby to them, it's all about profit.
So...let's say we have $100,000 to spend on new kit development...do we invest it into a ship kit that will sell 10,000 units in a year, or do we spend it on another P-51 or Tiger tank that will sell 50,000 units...
Nah, we're doing just fine...we not might be taking over the modeling world, yet...but we will eventually.
Jeff Herne
Modelwarships.com