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1946 What If GB

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  • Member since
    October 2009
  • From: Oil City, PA
Posted by greentracker98 on Wednesday, November 18, 2015 8:03 PM

Gamera wrote the following post 30 minutes ago:

Ken, YEOW, I've never seen that! A naval Lightning would be awesome!!!

 

Well Gamera, The Navy didn't think that way LOL

I think I'm kinda stuck on P 38's and 47's I keep going back to them. Now That I think on it more, I think I want to try the US Navy Lightning. I'll keep it for the GB

A.K.A. Ken                Making Modeling Great Again

  • Member since
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  • From: MOAB, UTAH
Posted by JOE RIX on Thursday, November 19, 2015 7:48 AM

Whoa Ho! Now that is awesome. I have neither heard nor seen anything about this concept before. That would indeed be a choice subject to build. Needs to be dressed up in the tri-color scheme though. Just my humble opinion.Wink

"Not only do I not know what's going on, I wouldn't know what to do about it if I did". George Carlin

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Thursday, November 19, 2015 8:23 AM

greentracker98

All this talk of "What If" reminded me of an article I came across when I was doing my P -38.

http://p38assn.org/aboutp38.htm

Lockheed proposed a carrier-based "Model 822" version of the Lightning for the United States Navy. The Model 822 would have featured folding wings, an arresting hook, and stronger undercarriage for carrier operations. The Navy wasn't interested, as they regarded the Lightning as too big for carrier operations and didn't like liquid-cooled engines anyway, and the Model 822 never went beyond the paper stage.However, the Navy did operate four land-based F-5Bs in North Africa, with these aircraft inherited from the USAAF and redesignated "FO-1."

I'd love to try to build it. Darn, Now I'm thinking about it again LOL If I could confiscate the wing hinges and locks from another kit (Maybe the Corsair) Hmm, This is something to think about, How about a P 38 Group Build. The first YP 38 flew on Sep 16, 1940. I wouldn't even start that GB until Sept 16, 2016

Here's What the Navy version would have looked like.

 

 

How bout this? 

http://simhq.com/forum/ubbthreads.php/topics/2638782/Re:_Intresting_photofind_P-38_ 

And this? 

And this? 

 

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    November 2009
  • From: SW Virginia
Posted by Gamera on Thursday, November 19, 2015 7:29 PM

Interesting photo there Moff. And I love the F-5 recon Lightning, I've got to build one someday.

"I dream in fire but work in clay." -Arthur Machen

 

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Thursday, November 19, 2015 7:53 PM

Gamera

 And I love the F-5 recon Lightning, I've got to build one someday.

 

 

Oops...I guess that's what happens when an armor buff tries to enter an aircraft conversation. Which one is the F-5? 

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    August 2009
  • From: MOAB, UTAH
Posted by JOE RIX on Thursday, November 19, 2015 8:09 PM

The F-5 is the one in the the top pic. Also know as the "Droop Snoot" and was often painted in haze blue. Those are great pics Moff. Thanks for sharing them.

"Not only do I not know what's going on, I wouldn't know what to do about it if I did". George Carlin

  • Member since
    October 2009
  • From: Oil City, PA
Posted by greentracker98 on Thursday, November 19, 2015 10:44 PM

All the P-38's pictured look great to me. It is one graceful sharp aircraft. There aren't many that have that look.

A.K.A. Ken                Making Modeling Great Again

  • Member since
    November 2015
Posted by cdr6 on Thursday, November 19, 2015 11:04 PM
Sound like fun.. Stretch the old imagination abit. The build I would like to do is an early P-80A, based on two of the four which made it into the ETO, before war's end. (Two more went to the MTO). Paint and markings to match existing fighter group. Scale 1/48, Kit mfgr Monogram/Revell.
  • Member since
    February 2014
  • From: Michigan
Posted by silentbob33 on Friday, November 20, 2015 8:52 AM
I've been looking in on this and the 1945 GB. I was hoping to have enough time to build an F-5E for the '45 GB, but life gets in the way and that won't happen. I'm hoping that I'll have enough time to get something together for this one though. I would love to get my hands on another F-80 and build it as a P-80A, but time will have to tell.

On my bench: Academy 1/35 UH-60L Black Hawk

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 10:31 AM

Bish, I don't know if this is too off-topic, but I was wondering what other people have in their minds as far as the alternate history for 1946. What do you think the war situation looks like in 1946? 

In my '46, the Germans are making a comeback, while the Japanese are still on the defensive for the most part. I think Berlin fell and Hitler died, but somehow things held together (maybe Himmler was given the ok to build the Alpine Redoubt in 1943?). Probably either Dönitz or Himmler is now in charge. Most of the moderate "honorable warrior" Wehrmacht types have by now deserted or surrendered, and it's just the die-hards left. In addition to SS regulars and a few Wehrmacht groups, maybe Himmler's Werwolf guerilla movement caught on more than it did IRL. As far as the Japanese...I don't know. I'd say the pressure would be off of them a bit, as the Allies continue to focus on Germany. They're probably able to hold their own, but I don't think they are making any startling rebounds. Maybe the A-Bombs would be dropped on Germany? As you can tell, my vision of '46 requires Himmler to really have Hitler's ear more than he did Smile

 

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    April 2006
  • From: ON, Canada
Posted by jgeratic on Friday, November 20, 2015 11:07 AM

Moff, it's a very good question, and I think anyone considering a whif build can't avoid putting some thought towards it. 

My approach isn't too complicated.  The war has continued into 1946, but the end is not in doubt.  The extra year or so allows more experimental types to see service, as well as more units receiving better upgrades.

regards,

Jack

  • Member since
    December 2002
  • From: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, England
Posted by Bish on Friday, November 20, 2015 11:50 AM

cdr6
Sound like fun.. Stretch the old imagination abit. The build I would like to do is an early P-80A, based on two of the four which made it into the ETO, before war's end. (Two more went to the MTO). Paint and markings to match existing fighter group. Scale 1/48, Kit mfgr Monogram/Revell.
 

Welcome aboard. I was hoping we would get a P-80, now we have two.

I take it this is your first GB, at least on this forum. Nice to see you diving right in, if you have any questions, please ask.

And be sure to check out page 2 and caste your vote.

I am a Norfolk man and i glory in being so

 

On the bench: Airfix 1/72nd Harrier GR.3/Fujimi 1/72nd Ju 87D-3

  • Member since
    December 2002
  • From: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, England
Posted by Bish on Friday, November 20, 2015 11:52 AM

silentbob33
I've been looking in on this and the 1945 GB. I was hoping to have enough time to build an F-5E for the '45 GB, but life gets in the way and that won't happen. I'm hoping that I'll have enough time to get something together for this one though. I would love to get my hands on another F-80 and build it as a P-80A, but time will have to tell.
 

Pity you could not make 45, but would be great to have you in 46.

I am a Norfolk man and i glory in being so

 

On the bench: Airfix 1/72nd Harrier GR.3/Fujimi 1/72nd Ju 87D-3

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 11:53 AM

jgeratic

Moff, it's a very good question, and I think anyone considering a whif build can't avoid putting some thought towards it. 

My approach isn't too complicated.  The war has continued into 1946, but the end is not in doubt.  The extra year or so allows more experimental types to see service, as well as more units receiving better upgrades.

regards,

Jack

 

Well, that makes sense. I don't know if I'd say that in my scenario the end is in doubt, but I don't think it's clear cut either. 

 

P.S. Could someone please scratchbuild an Amerika Rakete? Please? 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aggregate_(rocket_family)

 

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    December 2002
  • From: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, England
Posted by Bish on Friday, November 20, 2015 11:55 AM
Moff, good question. Despite being a big fan of German what if builds, I have not given it a lot of thought. Of course, my builds require that Germany is still in the war. I think as far as I have got is that the German were successful in the Ardennes in late 44 and were then able to halt the SU. I have not really gone much beyond that, but maybe I should.

I am a Norfolk man and i glory in being so

 

On the bench: Airfix 1/72nd Harrier GR.3/Fujimi 1/72nd Ju 87D-3

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 12:15 PM

Bish
Moff, good question. Despite being a big fan of German what if builds, I have not given it a lot of thought. Of course, my builds require that Germany is still in the war. I think as far as I have got is that the German were successful in the Ardennes in late 44 and were then able to halt the SU. I have not really gone much beyond that, but maybe I should.
 

Your version sounds more plausible than mine. Smile I may have to convert to your what if scenario. 

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    May 2013
  • From: From the Mit, but live in Mason, O high ho
Posted by hogfanfs on Friday, November 20, 2015 12:42 PM

My What if is not complicated, but, I would say kind of big. What if Truman decided not to drop the atomic bombs, and instead pushed forward with an American invasion of the Japanese mainland. I would expect the Japanese to utilize every avaialble resouce to defend. So tanks like the Type 4 and 5 would have been pushed into service.

 Bruce

 

 On the bench:  1/48 Eduard MiG-21MF

                        1/35 Takom Merkava Mk.I

 

  • Member since
    December 2002
  • From: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, England
Posted by Bish on Friday, November 20, 2015 12:58 PM

hogfanfs

My What if is not complicated, but, I would say kind of big. What if Truman decided not to drop the atomic bombs, and instead pushed forward with an American invasion of the Japanese mainland. I would expect the Japanese to utilize every avaialble resouce to defend. So tanks like the Type 4 and 5 would have been pushed into service.

 

I think out of the two main theathers of the war, this is mor realistic than any that keep Germany fighting. I believe the invasion was planned for 46, so i would guess those new types would hav ebeen ready by then.

I am a Norfolk man and i glory in being so

 

On the bench: Airfix 1/72nd Harrier GR.3/Fujimi 1/72nd Ju 87D-3

  • Member since
    November 2015
Posted by cdr6 on Friday, November 20, 2015 1:00 PM
I do a lot of AT vehicles on WOT and will have to go with the E10. It looks like an up dated Hetzer so would be kind of interesting to see how it turns out. Regards, Chuck
  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 1:00 PM

Bish

 

 
hogfanfs

My What if is not complicated, but, I would say kind of big. What if Truman decided not to drop the atomic bombs, and instead pushed forward with an American invasion of the Japanese mainland. I would expect the Japanese to utilize every avaialble resouce to defend. So tanks like the Type 4 and 5 would have been pushed into service.

 

 

 

I think out of the two main theathers of the war, this is mor realistic than any that keep Germany fighting. I believe the invasion was planned for 46, so i would guess those new types would hav ebeen ready by then.

 

More realistic, but not more fun! Where would all the Waffentragers and E-100s be? 

 

P.S. Could someone please scratchbuild an Amerika Rakete? Please? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aggregate_(rocket_family)

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    July 2004
  • From: Sonora Desert
Posted by stikpusher on Friday, November 20, 2015 1:29 PM

Bish

 

 
hogfanfs

My What if is not complicated, but, I would say kind of big. What if Truman decided not to drop the atomic bombs, and instead pushed forward with an American invasion of the Japanese mainland. I would expect the Japanese to utilize every avaialble resouce to defend. So tanks like the Type 4 and 5 would have been pushed into service.

 

 

 

I think out of the two main theathers of the war, this is mor realistic than any that keep Germany fighting. I believe the invasion was planned for 46, so i would guess those new types would hav ebeen ready by then.

 

There were two invasions of Japan planned to take Japan out of the war after Okinawa. Operation Olympic, the invasion of the Southernmost main island of Kyushu was slated for November 1, 1945. The entire island was not to be captured, just a portion to provide staging areas and air bases for the final battle of the next invasion of Japan, planned for Spring 1946. Operation Coronet, the invasion of the main island of Honshu, was to have taken place on or after March 1, 1946 with a landing south of Tokyo.

Thankfully for the men slated to take part in those planned campaigns, as well as the Japanese who would have fought them or who lived in those areas, those battles did not come to pass. Each invasion would have been larger than the Normandy Invasion in size, and most likely would have involved battles even more ferocious than Iwo Jima or Okinawa.

 

F is for FIRE, That burns down the whole town!

U is for URANIUM... BOMBS!

N is for NO SURVIVORS...

       - Plankton

LSM

 

  • Member since
    July 2014
Posted by modelcrazy on Friday, November 20, 2015 1:36 PM

I just finished watching "Seconds from Disaster, Nagasaki - The Forgotten Bomb" where the premises was that neither of the Atomic bombs were of any relevance to the Japanese war council. It wasn’t until the Soviets declared war that the Japanese decided to surrender. According to the documentary, the Japanese felt the western lifestyle was more compatible with their way of life than Communism.
So if that were the case, if Germany did not fall, then it would seem, according to this documentary anyway, that neither would the Japanese. And since the US was completely out of A bombs….Confused

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bLwdDXW--fw

Intresting watch.

Steve

Building a kit from your stash is like cutting a head off a Hydra, two more take it's place.

 

 

http://www.spamodeler.com/forum/

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 2:44 PM

modelcrazy

I just finished watching "Seconds from Disaster, Nagasaki - The Forgotten Bomb" where the premises was that neither of the Atomic bombs were of any relevance to the Japanese war council. It wasn’t until the Soviets declared war that the Japanese decided to surrender. According to the documentary, the Japanese felt the western lifestyle was more compatible with their way of life than Communism.
So if that were the case, if Germany did not fall, then it would seem, according to this documentary anyway, that neither would the Japanese. And since the US was completely out of A bombs….Confused

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bLwdDXW--fw

Intresting watch.

 

Thanks, I'll plan on watching it! What I meant is, if the war did progress into '46, that would mean that Germany would have been in a comparatively (next to Japan) strong position in late summer/early fall 1945. Wouldn't you think that the Allied planners would target Germany with Little Boy and Fat Man, since they were hypothetically the greater threat?

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    July 2004
  • From: Sonora Desert
Posted by stikpusher on Friday, November 20, 2015 2:55 PM

Had Germany not yet been defeated by August 1945, the Bombs dropped on Japan would have been used there instead. Also, by 1946, it was projected that even after the Trinity bomb and the two dropped on Japan in August, up to 15 more could have been ready for "tactical use" during Operation Coronet. 

Regarding the Soviet angle, the Japanese were looking at putting out peace feelers thru the Soviets towards the Western Allies. The Soviets, knowing they were about to enter the war in the Pacific, were ambivilant towards these overtures, letting them sit in limbo and not forwarding them to the West. Once they entered the war, the Japanese realized that option was gone. Regardless of the War Council's views, it Hirohito who made the decision to surrender, and the prime motivation being that of the bomb. Soviet actions were a contributing factor, but not so much the causal factor. At least that is how I read it in John Toland's two volume work, "The Rising Sun". 

 

F is for FIRE, That burns down the whole town!

U is for URANIUM... BOMBS!

N is for NO SURVIVORS...

       - Plankton

LSM

 

  • Member since
    January 2015
Posted by Moff on Friday, November 20, 2015 3:58 PM

stikpusher

Also, by 1946, it was projected that even after the Trinity bomb and the two dropped on Japan in August, up to 15 more could have been ready for "tactical use" during Operation Coronet. 

 

Yikes, we cut it close enough during the Cold War with just the examples of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

"Gaiety is the most outstanding feature of the Soviet Union." - Josef Stalin 

  • Member since
    December 2002
  • From: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, England
Posted by Bish on Friday, November 20, 2015 3:59 PM

Hasn't there been some debate as to whether the bombs would have been dropped on Germany. At first it was thoguht of as a detetrrant. But as it became clear that the Germans were far behind it became a first strike weapon. And i believe early on that japan would be the target. One reason was it was thought if the first bomb failed to explode, the Japanese would be less likely to get any useful information from it.

Was anyone aware of the after effects of the A bomb at the time, as if they were i am sure that could have been another factor.

I am a Norfolk man and i glory in being so

 

On the bench: Airfix 1/72nd Harrier GR.3/Fujimi 1/72nd Ju 87D-3

  • Member since
    August 2015
Posted by Cat Daddy on Friday, November 20, 2015 4:14 PM

IIRC, after the German loss at the Battle of Bulge, things were pretty much over for them. They were defending the fatherland with old men and boys and the people were fairly tired of war. True, there were guerilla-type units out there who wanted to keep fighting - the werewolves - but for the most part, the war was pretty much over. The western allies were closing in from one side and the Russians were sweeping in from the east. I think even if Hitler was taken out of his leadership position and a highly competent military leader put in, the war would still be pretty much over within a matter of months.

The war in the pacific is a better and more interesting what-if scenario. Without the use of the atomic bombs, it could have dragged on for quite a while.

  • Member since
    July 2004
  • From: Sonora Desert
Posted by stikpusher on Friday, November 20, 2015 4:18 PM

An atomic strike on Germany at the end of WWII would have been a very different proposition. In my view, the primary being there no cities left intact to demonstate the power of a single bomb. Four cities were left intact in Japan for just that purpose, two of which would be hit. Once the Western Allies landed in France, it became apparent that the war there would be over before any bombs would be ready in any case. But had the war in Europe continued to Augusrt of 1945 and beyond, what effect could an Atomic bomb have on an already smashed Berlin, Munich, or other such city? It would have been far more useful in a tactical role of smashing a heavy concentration of German forces. But that would lessen the shock effect upon the general population as opposed to the military leadership.

As far as radiological after effects, only some were known and appreciated at the time. Scientists at the Trinity test were debating weather or not the bomb would work as designed and planned, or if it could possibly even lead to an uncontrolled chain reaction at the worst end of the results spectrum. With those first three bombs, the problems of residual radiation and fallout appeared, but would take many years of study to truly comprehend. Not to mention all teh years of subsequent atmospheric testing first by the US and later by the other nations that attained an Atomic warfare capability.

 

F is for FIRE, That burns down the whole town!

U is for URANIUM... BOMBS!

N is for NO SURVIVORS...

       - Plankton

LSM

 

  • Member since
    July 2014
Posted by modelcrazy on Friday, November 20, 2015 4:32 PM

Bish
Was anyone aware of the after effects of the A bomb at the time, as if they were i am sure that could have been another factor.

I believe they knew some of the after effects, however I don't believe they thought it would be as widespread or long lasting. Looking at some of the testing in the south Pacific shows that we just didn't understand the lasting effect of radiation. I'm not sure however that would have made any difference in the decision. Truman was racing the clock with Russia and he didn't want to lose another several hundred thousand solders.

Steve

Building a kit from your stash is like cutting a head off a Hydra, two more take it's place.

 

 

http://www.spamodeler.com/forum/

  • Member since
    July 2014
Posted by modelcrazy on Friday, November 20, 2015 4:36 PM
This is yet another interesting you tube video that quite frankly, is shocking to me. I had no idea there were this many tests.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGFkw0hzW1c

Steve

Building a kit from your stash is like cutting a head off a Hydra, two more take it's place.

 

 

http://www.spamodeler.com/forum/

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